MM Flow

Implied volatility · Deribit

Skew & term structure

IV smile by strike (per expiry) and ATM term structure (per DTE). Skew measures crash-hedge demand — when put IV runs richer than equally-OTM call IV the market is paying up for downside protection. Term structure shows whether near-dated vol trades rich (backwardation = event risk priced in) or cheap (contango = calm). Sourced from Deribit's public chain.

BTC Spot

ATM IV (front)

ATM IV (back)

Term curve

IV smile · BTC

X = strike ÷ spot (1.00 = ATM). Y = implied vol (decimal). Coloured line per expiry, nearest-first.

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ATM term structure

X = days to expiry. Y = ATM IV. Slope encodes calm vs event-priced.

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BTC skew by expiry

10-delta-equivalent skew = put IV at 0.9 moneyness − call IV at 1.1 moneyness. Positive = crash hedge premium; negative = upside chase premium.

ExpiryDTEATM IV10Δ skewStrikes
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IV smile = market-implied vol at each strike for a given expiry; the shape encodes which moves the market is paying up to hedge. ATM term structure = ATM IV vs days-to-expiry; the curve shape encodes whether near-dated vol carries event risk premium. Source: Deribit mark_iv from the option chain.